Trends in the development of the Russian economy in the context of fragmentation of the global economy

Abstract

The article actualizes the need to consider the impact of fragmentation processes observed in the global economy on the formation of the economy in the Russian Federation. The purpose of this study is to illustrate the economic-theoretical content of the processes of the considered transformation from the standpoint of defining the categorical essence of fragmentation and deglobalization, identifying their evolutionary stages, as well as analyzing the essence of economic fragmentation. Methodologically, the analysis is based on the use of tools of comparative dynamics of macro-zone functioning in the Russian Federation, which allows us to identify the dependence on fragmentation processes at the regional level and to shape the direction of economic policy. The main emphasis is placed on the need to take into account the systemic consequences accompanying the transformation of business processes and public institutions, which synergistically determines the focus on leveling the negative conditions of global changes. The authors also present an evolutionary-theoretical characterization of fragmentation processes, which allowed to illustrate the presence of both positive and negative trends that contribute to the orientation of state economic policy towards the use of the model of “institutional design”. The study points out the cyclicality and causality of integration processes, which demonstrate trends towards the need for autonomization of national economies, which contributes to their progressive development. Thus, the study is of general theoretical nature and is aimed at actualizing the causal components of the formation of the national economic system in new economic conditions, subject to the influence of the geopolitical factor, which allows us to propose recommendations regarding the substantive reform of state economic policy instruments and identify the basic principles that minimize the impact of fragmentation on macro-processes: the use of expert opinions, the development of a multisystem of control.