Articles

VERTICAL FISCAL IMBALANCE AS A TOOL FOR ANALYZING THE DEBT SUSTAINABILITY OF RUSSIAN REGIONS

Received: 15.01.2023 Published: 15.01.2023

UDC: 336.114+336.13 EDN: RBSDPW DOI: 10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-157-166

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Abstract

The applicability of the indicator of vertical fiscal imbalance and its components in the analysis of debt sustainability of Russian regions is considered. The concept of vertical imbalance of the International Monetary Fund is modified to include different types of intergovernmental transfers in the budgetary system of Russia. The data on regional credit ratings from Analytical Credit Rating Agency "ACRA" are used as a criterion for grouping regions, a regression analysis of the credit rating is carried out. It is found that vertical imbalance can be considered one of the promising tools in the analysis of regional debt sustainability. The inverse relationship between vertical imbalance and debt sustainability with the latter estimated through the value of the credit rating, is found. Deficit and federal intergovernmental transfers in 2020 increased vertical imbalance and reduced debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation. Vertical imbalance in regions with greater debt sustainability increased mainly due to the growth of deficit, while in less sustainable regions - due to intraregional centralization of federal earmarked intergovernmental transfers.

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статья подготовлена по результатам исследований, выполненных в рамках государственного задания РАНХиГС.

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Для цитирования:

Тимушев Е.Н., Михайлова А.А. ПОКАЗАТЕЛЬ ВЕРТИКАЛЬНОЙ НЕСБАЛАНСИРОВАННОСТИ КАК ИНСТРУМЕНТ АНАЛИЗА ДОЛГОВОЙ УСТОЙЧИВОСТИ РЕГИОНОВ РОССИИ // Государственное и муниципальное управление. Учёные записки. 2023. № 1. С. 157–166. https://doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-157-166

For citation:

Timushev E.N., Mikhaylova A.A. VERTICAL FISCAL IMBALANCE AS A TOOL FOR ANALYZING THE DEBT SUSTAINABILITY OF RUSSIAN REGIONS // State and Municipal Management. Scholar Notes. 2023. no. 1. P. 157–166. https://doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-157-166

How to Cite

Timushev E.N., Mikhaylova A.A. VERTICAL FISCAL IMBALANCE AS A TOOL FOR ANALYZING THE DEBT SUSTAINABILITY OF RUSSIAN REGIONS // State and Municipal Management. Scholar Notes. 2023. no. 1. P. 157–166. https://doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-157-166

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